All polls surveyed between 490-700 respondents. All Rasmussen polls and the SUSA 6/19 poll were of likely voters. All other SUSA polls were of registered voters. A recent Maricopa Co., AZ poll showed surprising strength for Obama in McCain's home county. If reliably Republican Arizona is showing signs of cracking, I like Obama's chances in purple New Mexico. Obama has a strong ally in Sen. Richardson, and runs well in Santa Fe and on the Reservation. New Mexico appears much safer for the Democrat than Ohio, Michigan, Colorado, and New Hampshire.
Showing posts with label polling. Show all posts
Showing posts with label polling. Show all posts
Saturday, August 2, 2008
NM Polls: SUSA and Rasmussen in 2008
Rasmussen in NH
If there is any traditionally Republican state where McCain's latest attack strategy won't fly, it's New Hampshire. Keep an eye on the movement in the next set of polls from the Granite State.
Rasmussen in CO
Other polls show Colorado tightening with McCain taking the lead in the latest Quinnipiac poll.
Tuesday, July 29, 2008
Rasmussen in OH
The McCain campaign has to be encouraged by this latest poll in what is developing into a must-win state for him.
Rasmussen in NV
The Breach is back after a two-week vacation. The previously posted state graphs have been updated with the latest data points.
Tuesday, July 15, 2008
Iowa Polling: SUSA and Rasmussen 2008
SUSA polled registered voters until the June poll, when it polled likely voters. Polls surveyed between 528 and 600 respondents.
All Rasmussen polls surveyed 500 likely voters.
Among the Bush states, Iowa is the most likely to be flipped by Obama. Obama has treated Iowa as his second home in his campaign thus far. It was the key to his primary victory over Sen. Clinton. His consistent lead there reflects the fact that 177 of his 686 campaign appearances (26%) have been in the Hawkeye State. The next closest state in total campaign appearances is New Hampshire with 52.
Monday, July 14, 2008
Thursday, July 10, 2008
Monday, July 7, 2008
Wednesday, July 2, 2008
Sunday, June 29, 2008
Virginia Polls: SUSA and Rasmussen 2008
Both SUSA and Rasmussen poll between 500-600 voters for each survey. Rasmussen polled likely voters in Virginia, while SUSA polled registered voters. If SUSA's more recent polls in other states are any indication, the next VA poll will also be of likely voters.
Saturday, June 28, 2008
SUSA in Ohio
More exciting than Missouri, that's for sure. All polls surveyed between 527-629 voters. All were registered voter populations until the June poll which was likely voters.
Friday, June 27, 2008
SUSA in Missouri
Not a whole lot of change over the course of the year. A lot depends on which way those Undecideds migrate.
(The sample size of most of the polls was between 536-562 voters. The exception is the May 18th poll which sampled 1523 voters. The first four polls surveyed registered voters and the last two surveyed likely voters.)
The Protocol will be keeping tabs on battleground state polling throughout the General Election.
Thursday, June 26, 2008
This Week in Polling
Last week was a tough polling week for Sen. McCain. Rasmussen reported yesterday that from 6/13 to 6/20 on the spectrum of "Safe GOP" to "Safe Dem" they moved 8 states closer to the "Safe Dem" side. (Scroll down past Balance of Power chart for the History of Changes chart.) The only state that moved toward "Safe GOP" was Colorado on 6/20 moving from "Leans Dem" to "Toss Up" and that was merely a retraction of the 6/19 move from "Toss Up" to "Leans Dem."
It's only June (I mean, the Cubs still have the best record in baseball, so we know we have a ways to go till the fall), but look for Team McCain to adopt some changes in strategy.
There is no doubt about the Balance of Power within the Protocol.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)