The October Protocol: Rasmussen

Showing posts with label Rasmussen. Show all posts

Saturday, August 2, 2008

NM Polls: SUSA and Rasmussen in 2008

All polls surveyed between 490-700 respondents. All Rasmussen polls and the SUSA 6/19 poll were of likely voters. All other SUSA polls were of registered voters. A recent Maricopa Co., AZ poll showed surprising strength for Obama in McCain's home county. If reliably Republican Arizona is showing signs of cracking, I like Obama's chances in purple New Mexico. Obama has a strong ally in Sen. Richardson, and runs well in Santa Fe and on the Reservation. New Mexico appears much safer for the Democrat than Ohio, Michigan, Colorado, and New Hampshire.

Rasmussen in NH

If there is any traditionally Republican state where McCain's latest attack strategy won't fly, it's New Hampshire. Keep an eye on the movement in the next set of polls from the Granite State.

Rasmussen in CO

Other polls show Colorado tightening with McCain taking the lead in the latest Quinnipiac poll.

Tuesday, July 29, 2008

Rasmussen in OH

The McCain campaign has to be encouraged by this latest poll in what is developing into a must-win state for him.

Rasmussen in NV

The Breach is back after a two-week vacation. The previously posted state graphs have been updated with the latest data points.

Tuesday, July 15, 2008

Iowa Polling: SUSA and Rasmussen 2008

SUSA polled registered voters until the June poll, when it polled likely voters. Polls surveyed between 528 and 600 respondents.

All Rasmussen polls surveyed 500 likely voters.

Among the Bush states, Iowa is the most likely to be flipped by Obama. Obama has treated Iowa as his second home in his campaign thus far. It was the key to his primary victory over Sen. Clinton. His consistent lead there reflects the fact that 177 of his 686 campaign appearances (26%) have been in the Hawkeye State. The next closest state in total campaign appearances is New Hampshire with 52.